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Interesting thread...and thanks to those who mentioned having several years supply of tubes on hand. I do believe I will do that too. A couple of dozen JJ preamp tubes and maybe a dozen el84s safely packaged away in the loft would be no bad thing.
But considering the amount of tube amps out there I would imagine that someone will manage to keep supplying them regardless what happens to the factories in Russia and China etc. I can't imagine a market opportunity like that not being exploited by somebody.
And even if I were ever completely tubeless I'd 'get by' with a Roland Cube amp. I love my tube amps but I can gig happily enough with my Cube60.
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